huffpostpolitics: Democrats Shouldn’t Panic Over One Poll...
Democrats Shouldn’t Panic Over One Poll Showing Donald Trump Ahead
The HuffPost presidential forecast gives Clinton a 98 percent chance of winning. That runs counter to the narrative that polls are closing in and is very different from other forecast models ― most notably the 71 percent probability she has in FiveThirtyEight’s model.
One reason for that is the HuffPost model relies almost entirely on state-level polling data, which shows Trump still has a huge Electoral College deficit, rather than national-level data.
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posted by Richard W. Smith at
9:57 AM
